Scientists study rising water level in Chesapeake
Bay
Copyright 1999 Associated Press
January 8, 1999
The level of water in the Chesapeake Bay is rising twice as
fast as the 
worldwide average sea level increase, and scientists are taking a
closer look 
into the phenomenon.
The bay's water level is increasing a little more than an
inch per decade in 
the middle portions of the 200-mile 
waterway. The rate is even higher at the bay's mouth, where tide
gauges show 
the increase is about 1.6 inches per decade.  
Water levels are almost 4 feet higher now than at the time
of the Jamestown 
settlement in 1607, said Curtis Larsen, a geologist with the U.S.
Geological 
Survey, which is examining the sea level rise.
"It's an eye-opener," Larsen said Thursday.
The cause is in dispute, 
but 
global warming appears to be a factor, he said.
Sediment cores drilled by the Virginia Institute of Marine
Science about 25 
years ago showed the long-term rate of increase was about a
half-inch per year 
until the 1600s, when it began to accelerate.
"That 
means this is by and large a long-term natural process, but we also
think 
there's clearly a man-induced component," Larsen said. 
"If all the computer models we're looking at are correct, we
can attribute some 
part of the increase to 
global warming."
The geological survey began drilling 
core samples from the Patuxtent River shoreline near Solomons
Island, Md., last 
month to compare with the earlier VIMS data taken along the York
and 
Rappahannock rivers, Larsen said.
The survey is also examining other areas, including
Westmoreland County marshes 
in Popes Creek for evidence of 
changes in the earth's crust that are causing shorelines to sink.
A broad band 
of tidal marshes in Popes Creek has disappeared in the past 30
years.
Larsen said a combination of rising sea level and land
subsidence in the 
Chesapeake Bay region appears to be accelerating 
shoreline erosion.
The erosion is turning some marshes into pollution sources,
a significant role 
reversal since marsh vegetation is often credited with filtering
water and 
capturing sediments, nutrients and other impurities.
But rich beds of underwater grasses that provide crucial
hiding places for baby 
crabs and fish in Tangier Sound are smothering in sediment washed
from the 
rapidly disappearing Blackwater Wildlife Refuge marshes in
Maryland.
"What washes out from the undercut banks of the
marshes is very fine sediments" that shade the grasses from
the sun and cause them to die, said John Page 
Williams, a naturalist with the 
Chesapeake Bay Foundation.
Larsen said the geological survey hopes to drill the core
samples it needs by 
the end of this year and begin studying the findings in 2000.  
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